MODELING OF REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT OF WPP AND SES CAPACITIES UNDER DIFFERENT SCENARIO CONDITIONS OF LONG-TERM DEVELOPMENT OF ELECTRIC POWER INDUSTRY OF UKRAINE

S.Ye. Saukh, O.M. Dzhyhun

Èlektron. model. 2022, 44(3):03-13

https://doi.org/10.15407/emodel.44.03.003

ABSTRACT

The analysis of various strategies of development of generating capacities which use RES is carried out. It is shown that the forecast indicators of electricity production from RES and the installed capacity of the respective generating units are system-wide and do not reflect the peculiarities of their regional development. It is noted that the regional development of capacities that use RES leads to the formation of "smart" networks, i.e. such participants in the electricity market that are able to form their own schedules of production and consumption of electricity in the power system. To reflect the peculiarities of the functioning of  "smart" networks in the UES of Ukraine, the problem of modeling the regional distribution of system-wide volumes of electricity production from RES, in particular, generating equipment for wind farms and SES, is formulated and solved. The problem takes into account regional differences in the efficiency of generating equipment of wind farms and wind farms, the pace of socio-economic development of regions, the maximum achievable values of electricity production and wind farms in regional energy systems of Ukraine, as well as the already established capacity and electricity production. SES in these regional energy systems in the base year. The results of modeling the regional distribution of total electricity production of wind farms and wind farms for the long term in two possible scenarios are presented.

KEYWORDS

renewable energy sources, modeling, regional development.

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