Integral Models of Development of Electric Power Systems with Allowance for Ageing of Equipment of Electric Power Plants

APARTSIN A.S., SIDLER I.V.

ABSTRACT

The paper proposes three types of integral models of the developing system that are based on various hypotheses about the dynamics of agåing of the system elements. The authors present the numerical results related to studies of development strategy of electric power system of Russia for the period until 2050.

KEYWORDS

integral modelsl of developing systems, Volterra equations of the first kind, power system of Russia.

REFERENCES

1. Glushkov, V.M. (1977), “About one class of dynamic macroeconomic models”, Upravlyayushchie sistemy i mashiny, no.  2, pp. 3-6.
2.
Glushkov, V.M., Ivanov, V.V. and  Yanenko, V.M. (1983), Modelirovanie razvivayushchikhsya sistem [Simulation of developing systems],  Nauka, Moscow, Russia.
3.
Yatsenko, Yu.P. (1991), Integralnye uravneniya sistem s upravlyaemoy pamyatyu [Integral equations of systems with  managed memory],  Naukova Dumka, Kiev, Ukraine.
4 Hritonenko, N. and  Yatcenko, Yu. (2003), Applied Mathematical Modeling of Engineering Problems,  Kluwer Academic Publishers, Dortrecht.
5. Apartsyn, A.S., Markova E.V. and  Trufanov, V.V. (2002), Integralnye modeli razvitiya elektroenergeticheskikh system  [Integral model of development of electric power systems. Preprint № 1], ISEM SO RAN,Irkutsk, Russia.
6. Apartsyn, A.S., Karaulova, I.V., Markova, E.V. and  Trufanov, V.V. (2005), “Application of  Volterra integral equations for modeling strategies for technical re-equipment of electric power”, Elektrichestvo, no.  10, pp. 69-75.
7. Ivanov, D.V., Karaulova, I.V., Markova, E.V., Trufanov, V.V. and et al. (2004), The numerical solution of the problem of management of development of electric power system”, AiT, no.  3, pp. 125-136.
8. Karaulova, I.V. and  Markova, E.V.  (2008), “The optimal control development of electric power system”, Ibid., no.  4, pp. 101-108.
9. Markova, E.V., Sidler, I.V. and  Trufanov, V.V. (2011),  “About the  models of developing  Glushkov  type systems and their applications in the electric power industry”, Ibid., no.  7, pp. 20-28.
10. Apartsyn, A.S. (1999), Neklassicheskie uravneniya Volterry I roda: teoriya i chislennye metody  [Nonclassical Volterra equations of the first kind: theory and numerical methods],  Nauka, Novosibirsk, Russia. 
11. Sidorov,  D.N. (2012), “On the solvability of  Volterra equations of the first kind with piecewise continuous cores in the class of generalized functions”,  Izv. Irkutskogo gos. un-ta. Ser. Matematika,  Vol. 5,  no.  1, pp. 80-95.
12. Messina, E.,  Russo, E. and Vecchio, A. (2008), “A  stable  numerical method for Volterra integral equations with discontinuous kernel”, J. Math. Anal. Appl., Vol. 337, pp. 1383-1393. 
13. Apartsyn, A.S. and  Sidler, I.V. (2013), “The use of non-classical equations of  Volterra of the first kind  for simulation of developing systems”, AiT, no.  6, pp. 3-16.
14. Apartsyn, A.S. (2013), “On the Theory of Non-Classical  Volterra Equations of the First Kind”, Inverse Problems, Design and Optimization Symposium.  Book of  Abstacts 4, Albi, France, June 26-28, 2013, p. 181.
15. Apartsyn, A.S. (2004), “About polylinear Volterra equations of  the  first  kind”,  AiT, no. 2, pp. 118-125.
16. Apartsyn, A.S. (2007), “On the convergence of numerical methods for solving the bilinear Volterra equations of the first  kind”,  ZhVMiMF, no.  8, pp. 1380-1388. 
17. Apartsyn, A.S. (2008), “Polylinear Volterra equations and some management tasks”, AiT, no. 4, pp. 3-16.
18. Apartsyn, A.S. (2012), “Polynomial Volterra integral equation  of  the  first  kind  and  Lambert function”, Trudy in-ta matematiki i mekhaniki UrO RAN, Vol. 18, no. 1, pp. 69-81.
19. Novak,A.V. (2012), “The presentation of the report of the Minister of Energy of the Russian Federation Novak, A.V.  at a meeting with Russian Prime Minister Dmitriy Medvedev "About  the modernization of the Russian electric power industry until 2020",  Minenergo RF, available at: http://minenergo.gov.ru/press/doklady/.
20. Novak,A.V. (2014), “Presentation of the report of Novak, A. "The outcome of the Russian fuel and energy sector in 2013. Tasks for the medium term", Minenergo RF, available at: http://minenergo.gov.ru/press/doklady. 

Full text: PDF (in Russian)